The issues of rationality and the attainment of equilibrium (as well as its stability and uniqueness ) in the macro economy and in capital markets lie in the center of the most important theoretical debates. Great original theories stressed the rationality of economic agents and investors. Equilibrium is automatically attained with the help of free markets. They were later challenged.
Each side has dedicated supporters !
The Classical economic theory and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)were challenged by the Keynesian tradition and the recent rise of Behavioral Economics. The counter attack on the notion of a perfect real world is based on irrationalities, the internal dynamics of the system and on institutional factors. Exogenous shocks are the usual original culprits for disequilibria. How do we return to equilibrium. Does this notion exist ?
The policy implications, the prevailing political ideas and the interpretation of actual developments rely on these legendary debates of theorists and econometricians
Very Important economic, financial , political issues arise :
-Can the economy and capital markets be in disequilibrium ?
-For how long ? Will they return to equilibrium fast by themselves ?
-Did the irrationality and behavioral mistakes of agents play an important role in creating disequilibria ?
-What are the implication for Government policies?
-Is intervention justified or will it create more problems ?
Concerning the Economy, the Classical economists believe in the automatic attainment of equilibrium at full employment. Efficient functioning of all markets and absence of interventions are key. On the opposing side, Keynesians believe in the possibility for prolonged deviations from Full employment and welcome Government interventions
Neoclassical and Monetarist economics follow the original traditions.
Equilibrium is possible, inflation depends on monetary policy and conclude that governments should keep intervention at minimum. Alternatively, Neo Keynesian economists stress the possibility of failures in markets, the absence in the real real world of simplifying assumptions and the existence of irrationalities. A Key consideration in these debates is the rational or irrational response of consumers and workers to their environment and what happens to markets as a whole.
In capital markets automatic adjustments of prices to public information is a main topic. The EMH maintains that great speed of adjustment exists and that future prices are independent of past prices. The model of pricing securities mostly according to market variability ( Beta and CAPM) and the efficient diversification principles characterize Modern Portfolio Theory( MPT).
Behavioral Economics questions the rationality of investors. Systematic individual mistakes and biases are reported. Rationality is a myth. Manias and crashes depend on mass psychology and are not necessarily linked to economic and financial news. Extended disequilibria are possible. Especially, for the market as a whole.
The key issue in Capital Markets is whether we can predict the systematic mistakes of investors on an aggregate level. If they cannot cancel out in a market environment adding up all individual errors , can we profit from these mistakes and inefficiencies ?
In conclusion, What is the best model , policy and course of action for investors ? Do individual mistakes persist and can we profit from them ?
Can we have a general model or separate analysis and specific reactions ?
PS
will examine several examples in Finance :
Aversion to taking losses
Risk taking with gains (risk averse) and losses (more risky)
Momentum
Reversion of returns to mean
Assigning wrong probabilities on future events
Overweighting recent events
Not changing initial portfolio (inheritance bias)
Home markets bias
Seasonality ( monthly) and week end effects
Sale regret in bull markets
Influenced by the crowd, the media, etc
The importance of valuation
…… and more to come!
110 Comments
Embanty
Han DP, Wisniewski SR, Wilson LA, et al cialis super active
invoicy
whoesale levitra pills 3 billion in cash sitting on the balance sheet of theworld s largest video games publisher as part of a widerrestructuring aimed at cutting debt and refocusing its business
invoicy
duree effet levitra neoral prograf cena President Obama addressed the country Tuesday night in an attempt shore up eroding public support for his Syria resolution, which faces likely defeat in Congress
Un Montalbano
As a Newbie, I am permanently browsing online for articles that can be of assistance to me. Thank you
http://www.graliontorile.com/
MichaelriB
[url=https://vardenafil.skin/]generic levitra buy[/url]
AshBlono
[url=http://zoloft.africa/]zoloft 200 mg[/url]
ZakBlono
[url=https://zanaflextizanidine.gives/]tizanidine drug[/url]
AlanBlono
[url=http://erectafil.party/]erectafil 5[/url]
EyeBlono
[url=https://amitriptyline.science/]amitriptyline capsules[/url]
MichaelriB
[url=http://lyricaf.com/]lyrica canada online[/url]
uVDLlRok
Others have shown that ESR1 gene expression can be activated in ER cell lines by DNA methyltransferase and histone deacetylase inhibitors 32 priligy cost Exercise helps prevent heart disease, osteoporosis and you feel morally superior doing it, she said, again drawing laughter from the crowd
JackBlono
[url=https://tenormin.foundation/]50 mg atenolol[/url]
JoeBlono
[url=http://allopurinol.charity/]allopurinol 400 mg daily[/url]
AshBlono
[url=http://clomida.foundation/]buy clomiphene citrate online uk[/url]
ZakBlono
[url=http://phenergan.charity/]buy phenergan over the counter[/url]
AlanBlono
[url=https://suhagra.gives/]buy suhagra 50 mg[/url]
EyeBlono
[url=https://flomaxsb.online/]where to get flomax[/url]
MichaelriB
[url=http://toradola.gives/]toradol 10mg cost[/url]
ZakBlono
[url=http://emoxicillin.online/]can you buy augmentin over the counter[/url]
AshBlono
[url=http://ampicillintab.online/]ampicillin 5g[/url]
Xbygar
order tricor 160mg sale order tricor generic buy tricor 200mg online
BMLHOa
In Toro de Stefani s case, she was coming to me for affirmation that this was a good alternative for her, said Alastair Thompson, a COMET co principal investigator at the MD Anderson Cancer Center in Houston, along with Ann Partridge at Dana Farber Cancer Institute in Boston generic cialis cost The abandoned Shanghai Jedi also has a color of ghosts diabetes drug infection lawyer and ghosts
Tukcpd
cialis for men over 50 order sildenafil 50mg without prescription order viagra 100mg online
Glam Rebelle Shapewear website
Simply wanna comment on few general things, The website pattern is perfect, the subject material is really wonderful : D.
https://grshapewear.com/
Xlepqp
buy zaditor 1 mg generic buy doxepin 25mg for sale imipramine order
Tnhcyu
minoxidil medication minoxidil brand cheap erectile dysfunction pill
Pfjmvk
buy acarbose without a prescription purchase glyburide for sale order fulvicin 250 mg generic
Smart Contract Generator Free
I do not even know the way I finished up here, however I thought this put up used to be great. I do not recognise who you are but certainly you’re going to a famous blogger for those who are not already 😉 Cheers!
https://officeblock.io
Gvlxyh
aspirin 75mg drug buy eukroma online cheap zovirax without prescription
Vsoaca
order generic dipyridamole 100mg where to buy pravastatin without a prescription buy pravastatin 10mg generic
Awftbl
buy meloset generic buy danocrine generic order danazol 100 mg pills
Hkazbr
order generic duphaston jardiance uk order jardiance for sale
Mukcbz
florinef 100 mcg cheap buy generic aciphex online buy imodium generic
Xsgehj
prasugrel order thorazine 50 mg pills buy detrol 2mg online cheap
Hiznth
order monograph 600 mg without prescription purchase etodolac online buy cilostazol 100mg generic
Efaklq
ferrous cost buy generic betapace for sale sotalol online buy
lloydroofingservices.com
Your style is so unique compared to many other people. Thank you for publishing when you have the opportunity,Guess I will just make this bookmarked.2
https://lloydroofingservices.com/
IvyBlono
[url=http://drugstore.monster/]canadapharmacyonline legit[/url]
Wfcukv
order mestinon 60 mg order maxalt 5mg online cheap brand rizatriptan 5mg
Wkpcem
order vasotec generic buy enalapril 10mg sale buy lactulose no prescription
MichaelriB
[url=https://prednisone.golf/]30mg prednisone[/url]
prescriptions online
online pharmacy no perscription
Qeiwbf
buy xalatan online cheap rivastigmine 3mg cost exelon 3mg
Oxptqs
oral premarin 600 mg viagra 25mg price cheap sildenafil online
Iwdkih
prilosec 20mg oral where to buy metoprolol without a prescription order metoprolol 50mg pill
EyeBlono
[url=http://neurontin.monster/]neurontin 300 mg caps[/url]
Davidbow
[url=http://prozac.store/]fluoxetine 80 mg[/url]
Xoqxgz
buy micardis 20mg pills plaquenil oral order molnunat for sale
Bdkacr
purchase tadalafil without prescription tadalafil 10mg without prescription order generic sildenafil 50mg
Wokgav
cenforce 100mg uk naprosyn without prescription buy chloroquine tablets
IvyBlono
[url=http://sildenafil.live/silvitra.html]silvitra 120 mg[/url]
ElwoodKit
[url=http://pharmgf.com/doxycycline.html]doxycycline mexico[/url]
SamBlono
[url=http://antibioticsop.com/keflex.html]cephalexin tablet 500 mg[/url]
Ecvqfz
buy provigil without a prescription buy provigil pill order prednisone 20mg pill
Upflno
cefdinir 300 mg for sale buy cefdinir tablets order prevacid 30mg online
Bfznsk
isotretinoin for sale online order generic amoxicillin 1000mg cheap azithromycin
SamBlono
[url=https://medicinesaf.com/cleocin.html]clindamycin 25mg[/url]
Tbqqkb
azithromycin buy online gabapentin 100mg sale cost gabapentin 600mg
Kekosb
where to buy lipitor without a prescription order generic lipitor 20mg norvasc us
Eaalsi
blackjack vegas free online games casino bonus cheap lasix 100mg
Btkves
order pantoprazole 40mg online cheap order lisinopril 5mg sale phenazopyridine 200 mg pills
Fvoxgl
online casinos for real money ventolin inhalator us albuterol brand
Tywsqe
no deposit casino vegas casino online stromectol tab 3mg
pharmacy price compare
certified canadian online pharmacy
Udaluv
order amantadine online cheap symmetrel over the counter buy aczone without prescription
online meds no rx reliable
cheapest drug prices
Rvmjxv
sugarhouse casino online augmentin order online order generic levothroid
most trusted canadian online pharmacy
canada mail pharmacy
Owbaom
order serophene buy clomid no prescription order imuran 25mg generic
Framzh
buy generic methylprednisolone online can i buy methylprednisolone online buy aristocort 10mg for sale
Davidbow
[url=http://zanaflex.science/]buy tizanidine online[/url]
list of legitimate canadian pharmacies
best online pharmacy no prescription
Wjdmmj
levitra sale how to get digoxin without a prescription order tizanidine pill
EyeBlono
[url=http://clonidine.skin/]order clonidine online[/url]
Oieoou
buy coversum paypal cost clarinex order fexofenadine 180mg pills
Ofdicu
order dilantin pill buy ditropan 5mg sale ditropan 2.5mg pill
Quvogt
purchase lioresal for sale baclofen generic buy toradol
SamBlono
[url=http://zithromaxabio.online/]where can i purchase zithromax[/url]
Lfyfxb
order loratadine purchase claritin for sale priligy 90mg tablet
mexican border pharmacies
drugstore online shopping
Zihmsf
cheap baclofen generic lioresal toradol 10mg canada
Wqqwpr
buy fosamax cheap gloperba oral order macrodantin 100mg pill
SamBlono
[url=http://avodart.party/]avodart soft capsules 0.5 mg[/url]
canadian pharmacy shop
prescription prices comparison
Akpuge
inderal for sale online order generic ibuprofen 400mg order plavix 150mg generic
Kevhkf
buy amaryl pills buy etoricoxib 60mg online buy arcoxia 60mg generic
Claqbw
buy nortriptyline 25 mg generic methotrexate 10mg cost panadol online
AshBlono
[url=http://atenolol.science/]1 atenolol[/url]
Yppcko
buy generic coumadin buy paxil pills buy reglan 20mg sale
Tjaulz
cheap orlistat 60mg order diltiazem pills purchase diltiazem pills
Kjqtum
pepcid for sale cheap pepcid 20mg prograf 5mg cost
Ugppzc
buy generic azelastine 10 ml oral acyclovir 400mg order irbesartan
Bcxyla
buy nexium 40mg without prescription buy generic topiramate for sale buy topamax 100mg online
Xcmssy
order zyloprim 100mg online rosuvastatin 10mg price buy rosuvastatin without a prescription
Kdvaqe
buy sumatriptan online buy cheap levofloxacin cost avodart 0.5mg
Ngwaaq
buy buspirone buy ezetimibe 10mg order cordarone 100mg pill
Sygeaf
buy zantac no prescription celebrex price buy generic celecoxib 200mg
Sdfyvg
spironolactone 25mg price order aldactone 100mg online cheap propecia 1mg us
Naqixf
term papers writing service write college essays for money cheap custom essay
Kwbznz
buy diflucan 100mg pill buy acillin paypal ciprofloxacin medication
Dfyjwz
aurogra 100mg uk buy generic yasmin online yasmin over the counter
Vdpoyn
order flagyl pills order flagyl 200mg online order cephalexin 250mg generic
Kjfpgl
purchase lamotrigine generic buy cheap mebendazole order mebendazole online
roll out shelves
Hi there! Someone in my Myspace group shared this website with us so I came to take a look. I’m definitely loving the information. I’m book-marking and will be tweeting this to my followers! Fantastic blog and amazing design and style.
https://slideoutshelvesllc.com/
AshBlono
[url=https://metforminex.online/]glucophage canada[/url]
beach interior design ideas
Great post. I was checking continuously this blog and I am impressed! Extremely useful info specifically the last part 🙂 I care for such info a lot. I was seeking this certain information for a long time. Thank you and best of luck.
https://850cottages.com/
Wiruib
clindamycin uk oral fildena 50mg buy fildena
Wphrby
buy tretinoin without prescription tretinoin cream for sale stendra where to buy
Opfpmo
tamoxifen 10mg usa tamoxifen where to buy order budesonide online
Boyrhd
tadacip brand buy generic tadalafil 10mg purchase indocin online cheap
Comments are closed.